as chrysler and gm have pointed out, jeep, which is a chrysler brand, and gm, also producing autos in northern ohio, aren't shrinking their production. they're expanding it. the obama campaign believes they have the facts and narrative on their side. talking to senior romney advisers last night, they don't regret making the charge but they did not anticipate the intensity of the obama reaction and the echo chamber it's created and believe it's been a net negative. >> that's interesting. let's talk about these state poll polls. we have new information that show obama with the lead in wisconsin, new hampshire and iowa. he has a five-point lead in ohio. you've been talking to team obama, his top officials. what do they make of these numbers? >> i was in chicago two days ago and they are supernaturally confident. >> supernaturally confident? >> yes. that's a normal place for the obama campaign, never anything other than supernaturally confident. >> overconfident? >> we'll find out. the way i would describe the obama campaign, they know their voter contacts, and if they know what they know